Tag Archives: dating

Top Three Predictors of Successful Relationships: PI.C.L.

I love making up a good acronym as much as the next relationship researcher, and today I’ve invented one about the top three predictors of a successful relationship:  PICL*.

PI=Positive Illusions

C=Commitment

L=Love Continue reading

Math Nerd Announcement: A Breakup Equation For Lovers

fancythought.blogspot.com

As someone who takes comfort in reducing highly complex human experiences into single-line mathematical equations, let me share my latest shiny new toy:  a formula that predicts the breakup percentage of a given sample of dating folk over a particular period of time.

Isn’t that intriguing?

Check it out: Continue reading

Chocolate And Online Dating: Do We Get Overwhelmed with Choice?

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Can the tasty cacao bean predict your next love-life move?  Not necessarily…but since I’ve already drawn one dubious parallel between food preference research and matters of the heart, why stop there?

Good, that’s what I thought too. Let’s consider, then, how our behavior in the presence of proliferating chocolate choices could predict our course of events when faced with a clamor of potential dates. Continue reading

A Pithy Thought From Jane

I recently read Jane Austen’s Emma for the first time–a great read if you like the romantic antics of Victorian England.  (And who doesn’t?)  This quote reminded me of the series I’ve been posting lately, called “How Exactly You Talk Yourself Into Dating the Wrong Person:”

Emma, the novel’s heroine, has just heard that her friend Harriet has accepted a marriage proposal from a local farmer.  In surprise, Emma says: “I had reason to believe her very lately more determined against him, much more than she was before.”

The stately and attractive Mr. Knightly, deliverer of this juicy news-morsel, retorts: “You ought to know your friend best, but I should say she was a good-tempered, soft-hearted girl, not likely to be very, very determined against any young man who told her he loved her.”

Ahh…how malleable we are. 

I’ll leave you with Pascal:

How, Exactly, You Talk Yourself Out of Dating the Wrong Person

I’ve been talking about dating lately, and about how good we are at ignoring our own best advice in the early stages.  We might go thoughtfully out into the world of cute singles, intending to find someone warm and intelligent this time around, but can easily end up with someone attractive and materialistic instead.

I’ve been talking about research that looks at our perception of ideals in a romantic partner, and one thing is clear:  we veer easily off-track if we like someone who doesn’t match up.  So, what value do these ideals really have, if any?  Should we just ignore them, since they falter as soon as we see a pretty face?

Dr. Eastwick’s study, which I’ve been reviewing in this series, suggests that ideal traits do have value—down the road.  Once our new relationship lumbers over early hurdles and enters the realm of legit, long-term love, whatever artifice we constructed to get ourselves into that relationship begins to weaken.  Groggily, we remember what we originally wanted…and see more clearly who we ended up with.

The researchers followed up with 500 speed-daters more than two years after they were recruited from speed-dating events.  Surprisingly, participants chose current partner ideals (e.g. physically attractive, good earning prospects, warm, exciting, conservative) that matched what they had said they wanted twenty-four months prior.  Even more interesting, for participants who had formed a committed relationship since Time 1, their partner’s ideal-trait- match strongly and positively predicted:

  • The passion they felt for their partner
  • Their bondedness and satisfaction with their partner
  • Their commitment to their partner
  • Their desire to marry their partner

This “predictive” finding means that lots of people were in relationships (56%), but the people whose partners matched up well with their original ideals were in more passionate relationships, and were more likely to want their relationship to last.

Surprisingly, the following things didn’t predict the current outcome in participants’ love lives:

  • How long the participants had known their partner
  • The participant’s perception of his or her own “value” in the dating marketplace (e.g. how easily they could get another partner)
  • Whether the participant had thoughtfully selected this dating partner with ideal trait-match in mind! (e.g. “When I enter into a serious relationship, I carefully consider whether his/her qualities match those that I desire in a romantic partner.)

(I appreciated the irony of the last point.  Basically, it meant that lots of people think of themselves as purposeful daters, but not everyone is).

The authors offer a poignant summary:  “Particularly when initiating relationships, it seems that potential partners who happen to match our ideal partner preferences get no preferential treatment from our hearts.  But once a relationship has been established, the match between a current partner’s traits and the pattern of our ideal partner preferences may ultimately affect relationship well-being.”  In other words, our sense of what we want doesn’t really guide us into new relationships, but it probably impacts whether we break up with that person or continue dating them.

I must say that I was quite surprised by these findings.  In my opinion, I don’t think our perception of others, or of ourselves, is precise enough for us to be able to say which 3 or 4 personality traits we really need in a lover.  I suspect that we usually refer back to past relationships that didn’t work out, and think “he was so controlling and anxious.  I don’t want someone like that again.  I must need an easy-going man who is a good communicator…”  Or, we look at people we like, and think about their dominant traits.

But, if people can look at a list of traits and pick the same ones out two years apart, maybe there is a permanence, and therefore a tangible importance, to these ideals after all.  Kind of like personality–it might change a bit over time, but there is something steady about it.

So, since we’re pretty bad at knowing what will attract us in the short-term, but pretty good at remembering what we actually wanted in the long-term, should we get familiar with our ideals and stick to our guns?  Or, are these willy-nilly, passion-driven beginnings valuable in their own way, and then we come back to our ideals to help us to weed out the keepers from the kickers?

Prior Posts in this Series:  Post 1, Post 2, Post 3

How, Exactly, You Talk Yourself Into Dating the Wrong Person (Part 1)

Have you ever starting dating someone, even though you knew full well about some bad habit or character flaw that should have kept you away?  Maybe you over-looked their lack of close friends, rampant bills and negligible account balances, or a history of getting fired not once but often…you name it, someone’s overlooked it.  We’ve all heard that story:  some people love dating people whose negative qualities are blatant, confirmed, and available for common review.

And most of us, especially psychologists and talk-show hosts, also love theorizing about why this oversight happens.  I’ve read reams of well-meaning explanatory psycho-babble on the topic, I can assure you.  Recently, though, a little gem was published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology[i]:  an actual experiment that tried to unravel the ‘how’ in all of this ‘why’.

An ambitious PhD student, Paul Eastwick, devoted his doctoral thesis to a series of experiments aimed to dissect part of this process.  He was curious about people’s concept of their ideal romantic partner, but he also wondered about their perception of real people who were potential dates, and how this judgment process shifts during the initiation phase of romantic relationships.

In other words, what’s the magic ingredient in rose-colored glasses?

He didn’t unlock the secret of the universe by any means, but the research did highlight a very interesting pattern in perception under the influence of attraction.  In the experiments, two undergraduate students (those perennial guinea pigs) at a time were made to linger momentarily in a small waiting room, in plain sight of one another, before being ushered into different rooms to start the experiment.

Weeks before, 106 student participants had indicated how well a list of 12 traits described their ideal partner, from +4 (highly characteristic), to -4 (highly uncharacteristic).  The list[ii] contained typical character stuff, like proud, daring, perfectionistic, outspoken, undecided, and clownish.  Now, weeks later, a researcher would take each student to a small meeting room, where they were told they were about to interact for 5 minutes with the opposite-sex person they just met in the waiting room.  They were asked to imagine these 5 minutes were a mini-date, and they were informed that this other person was single (e.g. not dating anyone).  The participant was encouraged to think about whether they might like this person as a romantic partner.  Before the “date,” however, the researcher gave the participant the now-familiar list of 12 traits, but with three items circled.  These three traits, they were told, were chosen by their “date” as most descriptive of him or herself.

Now, as in all classic experimenting, there were a few catches.  First, this opposite-sex person in the waiting room wasn’t an unaware student like themselves, but an actor hired by the researchers.  Secondly, the profiles were also fake.  For half the group, 2 of the 3 traits were the ones they themselves had said were most ideal in a dating partner, while the others saw a circle around 2 of their least-preferred traits.  Based on this profile, each participant indicated, before the mini-date, how much potential they thought this upcoming romantic candidate had.

As you might expect, the students who believed the person possessed their ideal traits were a little more interested (about 5.25 out of 10) than the students who were told the person possessed their least-preferred qualities (about 4.75 out of 10).  Presumably, the person’s physical attractiveness was factored in to some extent as well, based on the brief “viewing” in the waiting room.

The weird part came next.  After meeting the other person for 5 very bland minutes (in which both described pictures placed on the table by the researchers), the participants who “knew” the person had bad traits got more interested.  In fact, after the date, they indicated they were just as interested as the people who “knew” the person had their most-valued traits.  The difference between the two groups had vanished.

In case you’re thinking that the actors were more charming on some dates than they were on others, they weren’t.  The researchers controlled for that problem by having the actors memorize natural-sounding descriptions.  In effect, the actor said and did the same thing on every “date.”  Plus, remember that the participants had already seen each other, albeit briefly, in the waiting room.  So, what was going on?  Why were people more interested in a bad match after such a tepid interaction?

Ponder and make your guesses.  Next time, I’ll shed a little light on what the researchers found, and what it might mean for dating.


[i] Eastwick, P. W., Finkel, E. J., & Eagly, A. H. (2011).  When and why do ideal partner preferences affect the process of initiating and maintaining romantic relationships?  Journal of Personality and Social Psychology.  Advance online publication. doi: 10.1037/a0024062

[ii] The list was borrowed from similar existing research on romantic relationships, and while the article did not comment on its test-retest reliability or other statistical merits of the trait list, at least it was not an original, untested list of traits.

He’s Just Not That Into…Anyone

Last time, I broke the shocking (to me) news that only 16% of America’s singles are actively looking for a romantic partner.  In fact, if you recall, a full 55% of these disinterested reprobates (over 30 million people!) had NO current interest in finding a special someone.  (Sigh…no wonder we can barely maintain a replacement birth rate in this country.  But, I’ll wax profound on our social conundrums later),

As promised, I’m taking a look today at how my previous dating strategy (circulate, use lip gloss, sprinkle witty banter with vocabulary zingers, but let him make the first move) holds up in a scenario where only 16% of singles are on the prowl.

In short, it doesn’t hold up so well.  It’s a bit of a sinking ship, really.  Here’s why.

To start the analysis of my old dating strategy, let’s walk through the “market size.”  Let’s assume, for simplicity’s sake, that men and women are represented equally in this group of “active seekers.”  Even though Hollywood would have you believe that every single woman is looking for love and every single man is playing PlayStation and scratching himself, it may not be true.  Online dating sites, for example, skew about 60/40 men to women.  As I’m not sure how the ratio breaks down in the off-line world, let’s assume that it’s about equal.  In their Romance in America report, the Pew Research Center pegs the total singles pool at 62.5 million.  As 16% of them were “actively” looking for a relationship, that leaves us with 5 million men and 5 million women who consistently put themselves out there.

Now, what about waiting for men to make the first move?  I was waiting for a smaller crowd than I realized.  It would have made perfect sense to wait for cute single guys to ask me out if most of them were looking for a relationship.  My restraint was, I assumed, weeding out Nervous-Nellies, Commitment-Phobes, and those with Awkward Nasal Conditions.  But, if only 5 million men IN AMERICA are paying lots of attention to the single ladies around them (which is barely half the island of Manhattan to go around), and 26 million aren’t, then clearly my strategy was a bit weak.  Perfectly nice guys, who might well have warmed to a relationship if nudged, were just letting me walk by every day.

But how many, exactly?  Well, we have to whittle our pool of 5 million men down rather considerably, to account for geographic proximity or having a mutual friend.  If even 5% of interested single guys could have theoretically bumped into me, then I was waiting for a piddling 250,000 guys total who might have made a move.  Sheesh.  That’s less than 3% of Manhattan.  Impressed with my strategy yet?

Obviously, someone who wasn’t looking for love could have run headlong into me, fallen desperately in love, and make a move.   (Hey, it happens in Love and Other Drugs, Crazy, Stupid Love, most other things with Love in the title, and anything Natalie Portman seems to be in).  So, I’m not saying that only 8% of men in America could possibly have asked me out.  But, short of fairy-tale-like circumstances, only 8% of guys make a habit of looking around.

Okay, so maybe picking up local guys is an uphill battle.  But what about online dating?  (Which I tried several times, without much success)  What were my chances there?  Surely something purposeful like online dating attracts a greater percentage of men prepared to make a move?  Yep–it does.  Pew found that 37% of the people who had tried online dating were currently “actively looking,” or just about double the alertness levels in the general single population.  The numbers work out to about 2-3 million guys who might be online right now.  (We all know that some guys are online but not looking for a “relationship” per se…ick)  Geographic inconvenience aside, let’s say all of these men are available for meeting.  Pew reported that over 40% of people who try online dating score at least 1 date.  Only 17% reap a long-term relationship or marriage out of the deal, though.  In my online dating days, I was a bit picky; I wanted a man within 1,000 miles who had finished college and has all of his teeth.  So, at best, let’s say I could have met 500,000 guys online.  If I had a 17% chance of resurfacing with a significant other, then online dating was putting me in the queue for a piddling 85,000 guys.  That’s barely enough people to fill two U2 concerts.  (and good luck getting tickets to those!)

All in all, by favoring an indirect approach, by waiting for guys to come to me, it seems that I was ignoring 92% of available single men.  Those 92% made me pretty frustrated sometimes.  I lamented their spinelessness.  I occasionally “broke down” and tried to jump-start a romance myself.  It never occurred to me that it might not be personal.  Lots of men simply aren’t looking for a relationship.  They might have accepted a date, but they weren’t going to offer one.  Who knew?

If you want a date, but you subscribes to my old strategy, just remember that the people you notice might not be doing any noticing themselves.  I don’t know why, but it’s apparently a common ailment.  If you’re a go-getter and you don’t mind taking some risks, maybe you should find a way to take a more active role.  After all, if you don’t, who will?

Prior Posts in this Series:  Post 1

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